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Breast Cancer Risk, Prevention, and Family History Page

 

BREAST CANCER RISK AND PREVENTION

How can I determine how high my risk of breast cancer is?

If my risk of developing breast cancer is high as calculated by the Gail model or other risk assessment tool, is there anything I can do about it?

I have heard that Evista (raloxifene) can also decrease my risk of getting breast cancer.  Is this true?

New Test Predicts Response to Chemotherapy for Women with Early Breast Cancer.

 FAMILY HISTORY

There is no one in my family who has had breast cancer, so my chances of getting breast cancer are very low aren't they?

My mother had breast cancer.   Does that mean I will get breast cancer ?

Is there anything I can do to prevent from getting breast cancer?

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How can I determine how high my risk of breast cancer is?

We can give an estimate of a woman's risk of developing breast cancer based on several factors such as family history, prior breast biopsy results, age at onset of menstrual periods, etc.  One popular "model" for quantifying this risk is called the Gail model. By "plugging in" all the pertinent information, a calculation of the 5-year and lifetime risk can be made. For the "no risk" women, her 5 year risk would be about 1%, meaning that if there were 1000 women with no risk factors, in five years, approximately 10 of them would have developed breast cancer. A woman who has one or more risk factors, such as family history, no pregnancies, etc, her 5 year risk may be 1.5%, or 2.5% or higher.  This would mean that in a group of 1000 women with all those same risk factors, 15 or 20 would develop cancer over the next five years.

You may want to look at a similar risk calculation tool at the National Cancer Institute website, where you can do your own calculation.

Lifetime risk for a woman with no risk factors would be in the range of 10%, meaning that 100 of 1000 similar women would develop breast cancer sometime during their lifetime. For women with one or more risk factors, their lifetime risk may be 15% or perhaps as high as 50%.

 

If my risk of developing breast cancer is high as calculated by the Gail model or other risk assessment tool, is there anything I can do about it?

In 1998, a landmark study was published regarding the use of tamoxifen in the prevention of breast cancer. About 13,000 women were enrolled in this five year trial, comparing tamoxifen to a placebo (sugar pill).  The incidence of breast cancer development over about five years was decreased by about 50%.  In the placebo group, about 20 out of 1000 women developed cancer, whereas only about 10 out of 1000 women developed cancer in the tamoxifen group.  These results are dramatic, in that this the first ever drug study to demonstrate the ability to prevent breast cancer from developing in the first place. 

If a women chooses to take tamoxifen for prevention, it must be taken for a total of five years.  One must be aware that there are some potential undesirable side effects.  There were a few more cases of endometrial cancer when taking tamoxifen, and there were more women with blood clot problems.  And there may be side effects of hot flashes, vaginal discharge, cataract formation, and depression.  But for some women the benefits may clearly outweigh the risks.

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I have heard that Evista (raloxifene) can also decrease my risk of getting breast cancer.  Is this true?

Raloxifene is a drug that was initially approved for the prevention of osteoporosis.  In the study which was conducted to look at its effect in osteoporosis, it was noted incidentally that there were fewer women diagnosed with breast cancer when taking raloxifene. 

On the basis of these findings, a large trial was conducted a few years ago, including almost 20,000 women, which compared the use of Evista (raloxifene) to tamoxifen for the prevention of breast cancer in women who were at higher than average risk for developing breast cancer.   This was called the STAR trial (Study of Tamoxifen and Raloxifene).  The results were published in 2006, and showed that Evista also decreased the incidence of breast cancer over a 5 year period.  It is important to understand the size of the benefit.  These women had an average estimated risk of about 4% for developing breast cancer over the next 5 years.  This means that out of 100 women in the trial, only 4 would be expected to be diagnosed with cancer in 5 years.  But in the general population only 1 or 2 out of 100 will develop cancer in 5 years, so the risk is double or more.  Now in the study, with 5 years of either tamoxifen or Evista (raloxifene), only about 2 out of 100 women were diagnosed with breast cancer over 5 years, so the drugs both decreased the incidence of cancer by half.  While this is really good, the benefit is limited to only 1 or 2 women out of 100 who take it, at least over the first 5 years.  It seems that the higher one’s risk is, the more attractive these drugs become as preventive treatment.  You can find more information at the National Cancer Institute website about this trial.  Another informative NCI site can be viewed here.

 

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New Test Predicts Response to Chemotherapy for Women with Early Breast Cancer.

 The diagnosis of breast cancer is a very frightening event for any woman.  It is accompanied by many fears and anxieties, especially anxieties about the need for chemotherapy, and the fear that the cancer will come back.  These concerns arise for many women despite that fact that cancer is most often diagnosed in its early stages, when the risk for recurrent disease is fairly low.  A new test is available that will help women and their doctors in predicting their risk for recurrence, and to determine if their cancer would respond to chemotherapy.

The new test, called the OncotypeDX test, is performed on tissue from the initial biopsy or lumpectomy specimen.  It uses the unique genetic profile of each woman’s breast cancer to make an accurate prediction about whether the cancer will recur.  It measures an array of genes that are known to be associated with more aggressive tumors.  The test has been shown to be much more powerful than current predictive methods, which are based on “clinical staging”, which is based on the size of the tumor and the status of the lymph nodes.

This OncotypeDX test has been studied in a large group of women who had participated in two large national breast cancer clinical trials through the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) several years ago.  All of these women had early stage breast cancer at diagnosis, and all were treated in a similar fashion, with tamoxifen.  The OncotypeDX test was performed on the initial tissue specimens for all these women.  The women were then grouped according to the OncotypeDX test results.  All women had been followed for at least 10 years, so it was known who had recurrent cancer.

For the group as a whole, there were 15% who had recurrence within the first ten years after diagnosis.  Using the OncotypeDX test, this group could be split into 3 sub-groups, one whose recurrence risk was extremely low, at 7%, a second group with an intermediate risk, and a third group whose recurrence risk was quite high, at 31%, despite being classified as “early stage” by our current criteria.  About half of the women were in the low recurrence risk group.  The researchers concluded that the test is highly prognostic for this group of breast cancer patients, independent of treatment.

The test was also studied to see if it could predict who would benefit from receiving chemotherapy.  Currently, many women with early stage breast cancer are advised to receive chemotherapy, in a “one size fits all” fashion, even though only a very small number are actually going to benefit.  Based on current clinical staging, there is no simple way to decide which women would not benefit from chemotherapy.  In other words, we overtreat many women with chemotherapy, for lack of being able to distinguish which women will actually benefit.

Using the OncotypeDX test, 50% of the women, all with a low Recurrence Score, had no benefit from receiving chemotherapy.  Stated another way, if the Recurrence Score is low, the risk of recurrence is extremely low, and receiving chemotherapy makes no difference in the outcome.  On the other hand, in the remaining 50% of women with an intermediate or high recurrence score, there a much more dramatic benefit from receiving chemotherapy, especially with a high Recurrence Score. Incorporation of this test into the decision process allows the doctor to individualize treatment based on the “fingerprint” of the patient’s cancer.  Approximately 50% of women with early breast cancer can thus avoid the toxicity that comes with receiving chemotherapy.

This exciting new study was reported at the annual San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium held in December 2004 and subsequently published in the New England Journal of Medicine.  The test currently is only indicated for patients with breast cancer that has not spread to the lymph nodes, and also is “positive” for estrogen receptors.  The test is available for women at DeKalb Medical Center.  Most insurance companies cover the cost of the test.  It is expected that in the near future the test will be validated in women with more advanced breast cancer, potentially sparing additional women the toxicity of chemotherapy. There is already data showing that OncotypeDX is predictive of the benefit of chemotherapy even in women with positive lymph nodes, but its use in this setting is not yet considered appropriate outside of research settings.  Use of the test may also eventually accelerate our ability to identify unique molecular targets in breast cancer, allowing for even greater precision and individualization in treatment planning. 

As the use of this test has expanded, there has been a need to decide how best to treat those women who fall into the “Intermediate” Recurrence Score group.  Currently, most oncologists would recommend chemotherapy for many of these patients, though the data so far appears to show no real difference in outcomes for women whether they have chemotherapy or not.   There is a large national clinical trial underway to study this further.  It is called the TAILORx trial (Trial Assigning IndividuaLized Options for Treatment (Rx)).  In this trial, women with a low Recurrence Score are treated with hormonal therapy only, and women with a high Recurrence Score are treated with chemotherapy followed by hormonal therapy.  Patients with an Intermediate Recurrence Score are randomized either to receive hormonal therapy alone, or combined with chemotherapy.  You can get more information about this trial from the surgeons at DeKalb Surgical, or you may visit this NCI website for more details.

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 There is no one in my family who has had breast cancer, so my chances of getting breast cancer are very low aren't they?

Don't assume that you won't get breast cancer just because it doesn't run in your family!  Most breast cancers are not inherited, meaning that any female is at risk.  If you have a lump in your breast, or if you have a suspicious finding on your mammogram, it must be evaluated carefully, regardless of whether cancer runs in your family.

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 My mother had breast cancer.  Does that mean I will get breast cancer?

 If someone in your immediate family has been diagnosed with breast cancer, then your risk of developing breast cancer is increased by about a factor of 2.  If there are more than one with breast cancer in your family, your risk goes up further, especially if the cancers occurred at a young age (younger than 40).

 Although most breast cancers are not primarily due to genetic factors (related to family history), there is a group of women who carry a gene that carries with it an extremely high risk for developing both breast and ovarian cancer.  These genes are called the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. These gene mutations can be identified by a blood test, but the cost is over $2000 currently.  Most women do not need to have this test done.  But it is usually recommended for women who have two or more young family members with breast cancer, or if there is also a family history of ovarian cancer.  Each patient considered for the test must be counseled about what the test involves, and what ae the implications of the test results.  If you want more information, please contact our office. The genetic testing and counseling is available through the Kann Cancer Center at DeKalb Medical Center.

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 Is there anything I can do to prevent getting breast cancer?

 We do know something about risk factors for breast cancer.  Breast cancer incidence is higher in patients who are overweight, those who drink moderate to high amounts of alcohol daily, and those who consume a diet high in saturated fats.  There is also a higher incidence in those who have early onset of menstruation, those who have no full-term pregnancies until late in life, or those who never have any pregnancies.  Also, for those with children, breast feeding appears to decrease the incidence of breast cancer.

 Most women will not want to base their family planning on decreasing their cancer risk, but it's at least helpful to understand these potential implications.  But some basic preventive life styles make sense for most everyone, namely, avoiding saturated fats as much as possible, abstaining from alcohol, and maintaining an ideal body weight.  Other good life style measures in general include complete abstinence form tobacco products, a diet high in fiber, and a regular exercise program.

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DeKalb Surgical Associates ©2011

DeKalb Surgical Associates
2665 North Decatur Road
Suite 730
Decatur, Georgia 30033 (a suburb of Atlanta)
Phone: (404) 508-4320
Fax: (404) 508-4112

 

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